Flight Reliability
AA 15 · American Airlines
New York → San Francisco (JFK–SFO)
68
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 74%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 10 min
- Average arrival delay
- 3.1%
- Cancelled
- 7 min early
- Median arrival delay
Based on 350 historical flights. Data through May 2026.
What the data says
Sunday scaries are real for this one.
AA 15 arrived on time 90% of the time on Tuesdays and just 65% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.
Keep a backup plan handy.
AA 15 was cancelled 3.1% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.
The breakdown
- Mon79%(47 flights)
- Tue90%(48 flights)
- Wed71%(49 flights)
- Thu70%(47 flights)
- Fri68%(50 flights)
- Sat73%(48 flights)
- Sun65%(49 flights)
67%
May
Jun 43% → May 67% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 43% | 30 |
| July 2025 | 69% | 26 |
| August 2025 | 74% | 31 |
| September 2025 | 83% | 30 |
| October 2025 | 70% | 30 |
| November 2025 | 79% | 28 |
| December 2025 | 74% | 23 |
| January 2026 | 79% | 24 |
| February 2026 | 84% | 25 |
| March 2026 | 84% | 31 |
| April 2026 | 80% | 30 |
| May 2026 | 67% | 30 |
- Departures on time
- 84%
- Diverted
- 0.3%
- Flights flown
- 338
- Months covered
- 12
Same route, other flights
Keep nerding
Based on 350 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.