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Flight Reliability

AA 2829 · American Airlines

New York → Phoenix (JFK–PHX)

83
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
83%
Arrive within 15 minutes
2 min early
Average arrival delay
1.7%
Cancelled
14 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 362 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AA 2829 arrived on time 88% of the time on Saturdays. On Sundays: 78%.

A bit ahead of the JFK–PHX route.

AA 2829 arrived on time 83% of the time, versus 79% across the JFK–PHX route.

A bit ahead of the American Airlines network.

AA 2829 arrived on time 83% of the time, versus 77% across the American Airlines network.

Trending in the right direction.

AA 2829 arrived on time 87% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 74% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon80%(50 flights)
  • Tue86%(51 flights)
  • Wed80%(51 flights)
  • Thu86%(50 flights)
  • Fri82%(51 flights)
  • Sat88%(51 flights)
  • Sun78%(51 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM—(1 flights)
  • 12–3 PM83%(354 flights)
On-time trend by month
87%
May

Jun 83% → May 87% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202583%30
July 202594%31
August 202590%31
September 202590%29
October 202577%31
November 202576%29
December 202568%28
January 202679%29
February 202676%25
March 202687%31
April 202687%30
May 202687%31
Departures on time
82%
Diverted
0.3%
Flights flown
355
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 362 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.