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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AA 2858 · American Airlines

Jacksonville → Phoenix (JAXPHX)99% of its flights flew this route. The rest (DEN–PHL, RSW–LGA) are included in these numbers.

95
Nerd Approved
WanderNerd Reliability Score
89%
Arrive within 15 minutes
4 min
Average arrival delay
0.6%
Cancelled
9 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 315 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AA 2858 arrived on time 94% of the time on Thursdays. On Sundays: 84%.

Better than the American Airlines network average.

AA 2858 arrived on time 89% of the time, versus 77% across the American Airlines network.

Ticking up lately.

AA 2858 arrived on time 90% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 84% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon87%(52 flights)
  • Tue89%(47 flights)
  • Wed92%(38 flights)
  • Thu94%(35 flights)
  • Fri88%(51 flights)
  • Sat91%(46 flights)
  • Sun84%(44 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM(1 flights)
  • 6–9 AM89%(311 flights)
  • 3–6 PM(1 flights)
On-time trend by month
83%
May

Jun 92% → May 83% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202592%24
July 202595%21
August 202580%20
September 202579%24
October 202597%30
November 2025100%29
December 202587%31
January 202690%19
February 202675%24
March 202694%31
April 202693%30
May 202683%30
Departures on time
90%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
313
Months covered
12

Based on 315 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.