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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AA 3499 · American Airlines

Chicago → HPN (ORDHPN)

56
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
7 min
Average arrival delay
6.1%
Cancelled
6 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 359 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Wednesday is the weak spot.

AA 3499 arrived on time 81% of the time on Saturdays. On Wednesdays: 71%.

A bit behind the ORD–HPN route.

AA 3499 arrived on time 75% of the time, versus 78% across the ORD–HPN route.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AA 3499 was cancelled 6.1% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Trending in the right direction.

AA 3499 arrived on time 78% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 66% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon73%(44 flights)
  • Tue75%(47 flights)
  • Wed71%(51 flights)
  • Thu71%(49 flights)
  • Fri75%(48 flights)
  • Sat81%(47 flights)
  • Sun78%(49 flights)
On-time trend by month
81%
May

Jun 75% → May 81% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202575%28
July 202563%30
August 202571%28
September 202597%30
October 202581%31
November 202576%25
December 202557%28
January 202657%28
February 202685%26
March 202671%28
April 202682%27
May 202681%26
Departures on time
75%
Diverted
0.6%
Flights flown
335
Months covered
12

Based on 359 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.