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Flight Reliability

AA 4451 · American Airlines

Richmond → New York (RIC–LGA)97% of its flights flew this route. The rest (MYR–LGA, BNA–ORD) are included in these numbers.

78
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
83%
Arrive within 15 minutes
6 min
Average arrival delay
3.2%
Cancelled
8 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 315 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Saturdays have been rough.

AA 4451 arrived on time 94% of the time on Wednesdays and just 71% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Better than the RIC–LGA route average.

AA 4451 arrived on time 83% of the time, versus 70% across the RIC–LGA route.

A bit ahead of the American Airlines network.

AA 4451 arrived on time 83% of the time, versus 77% across the American Airlines network.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AA 4451 was cancelled 3.2% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon80%(49 flights)
  • Tue80%(51 flights)
  • Wed94%(50 flights)
  • Thu88%(50 flights)
  • Fri83%(48 flights)
  • Sat71%(45 flights)
  • Sun75%(12 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM—(2 flights)
  • 6–9 AM84%(292 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM—(9 flights)
  • 6–9 PM—(2 flights)
On-time trend by month
91%
May

Jun 79% → May 91% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202579%24
July 202578%27
August 202588%25
September 202592%26
October 202587%30
November 202578%27
December 202564%28
January 202684%25
February 202682%22
March 202688%24
April 202683%24
May 202691%23
Departures on time
90%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
305
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 315 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.