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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AA 4710 · American Airlines

New York → Nashville (JFKBNA)

63
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
11 min
Average arrival delay
4.7%
Cancelled
5 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 362 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

3–6 PM has a slight edge.

Departures between 3–6 PM arrived on time 76% of the time, against 71% between 12–3 PM.

Skip Thursday if you can.

AA 4710 arrived on time 81% of the time on Tuesdays. On Thursdays: 69%.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AA 4710 was cancelled 4.7% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Trending in the right direction.

AA 4710 arrived on time 83% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 73% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon80%(49 flights)
  • Tue81%(48 flights)
  • Wed75%(48 flights)
  • Thu69%(48 flights)
  • Fri73%(52 flights)
  • Sat80%(49 flights)
  • Sun70%(50 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 PM71%(38 flights)
  • 3–6 PM76%(305 flights)
  • 6–9 PM(1 flights)
On-time trend by month
77%
May

Jun 64% → May 77% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202564%28
July 202569%26
August 202577%31
September 202579%29
October 202577%30
November 202564%28
December 202569%29
January 202671%28
February 202680%25
March 202684%31
April 202690%29
May 202677%30
Departures on time
77%
Diverted
0.3%
Flights flown
344
Months covered
12

Based on 362 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.