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Flight Reliability

AA 6407 · American Airlines

Aspen → Dallas–Fort Worth (ASE–DFW)

30
Bring Snacks
WanderNerd Reliability Score
61%
Arrive within 15 minutes
37 min
Average arrival delay
5.9%
Cancelled
0 min
Median arrival delay

Based on 305 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Saturdays have been rough.

AA 6407 arrived on time 70% of the time on Wednesdays and just 52% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

A bit behind the ASE–DFW route.

AA 6407 arrived on time 61% of the time, versus 64% across the ASE–DFW route.

Well behind the American Airlines network.

AA 6407 arrived on time 61% of the time, versus 77% across the American Airlines network.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AA 6407 was cancelled 5.9% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon59%(41 flights)
  • Tue68%(41 flights)
  • Wed70%(40 flights)
  • Thu63%(41 flights)
  • Fri55%(40 flights)
  • Sat52%(42 flights)
  • Sun56%(41 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM59%(56 flights)
  • 12–3 PM61%(230 flights)
On-time trend by month
54%
Mar

Jun 52% → Mar 54% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202552%23
July 202566%29
August 202559%29
September 202576%29
October 202558%31
November 202582%27
December 202577%30
January 202625%28
February 202658%26
March 202654%28
Departures on time
63%
Diverted
0.3%
Flights flown
286
Months covered
11

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 305 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.