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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 1151 · Alaska Airlines

Oakland → Seattle (OAKSEA)98% of its flights flew this route. The rest (ITO–HNL, LIH–HNL) are included in these numbers.

94
Nerd Approved
WanderNerd Reliability Score
92%
Arrive within 15 minutes
2 min
Average arrival delay
1.5%
Cancelled
7 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 137 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Saturdays have been rough.

AS 1151 arrived on time 100% of the time on Mondays and just 80% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Better than the OAK–SEA route average.

AS 1151 arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 77% across the OAK–SEA route.

Better than the Alaska Airlines network average.

AS 1151 arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon100%(18 flights)
  • Tue95%(19 flights)
  • Wed86%(21 flights)
  • Thu100%(19 flights)
  • Fri90%(19 flights)
  • Sat80%(20 flights)
  • Sun95%(19 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM92%(132 flights)
  • 12–3 PM(1 flights)
  • 3–6 PM(2 flights)
On-time trend by month
96%
Oct

Jun 79% → Oct 96% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202579%19
July 2025100%30
August 202587%30
September 202597%29
October 202596%24
Departures on time
96%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
135
Months covered
6

Based on 137 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.