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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 1470 · Alaska Airlines

Chicago → San Diego (ORDSAN)

73
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
71%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
1.4%
Cancelled
1 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 217 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The 6–9 AM departure wins.

AS 1470 departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 75% of the time, versus 64% between 9 AM–12 PM.

Friday is doing you no favors.

AS 1470 arrived on time 81% of the time on Thursdays and just 65% on Fridays. That gap is worth planning around.

Lagging the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 1470 arrived on time 71% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

Trending in the right direction.

AS 1470 arrived on time 81% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 71% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon68%(31 flights)
  • Tue71%(31 flights)
  • Wed66%(29 flights)
  • Thu81%(31 flights)
  • Fri65%(31 flights)
  • Sat80%(30 flights)
  • Sun68%(31 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM75%(134 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM64%(80 flights)
On-time trend by month
80%
May

Nov 41% → May 80% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
November 202541%29
December 202555%29
January 202668%31
February 202689%28
March 202677%31
April 202687%30
May 202680%30
Departures on time
73%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
214
Months covered
8

Based on 217 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.