Flight Reliability
AS 2186 · Alaska Airlines
Los Angeles → MFR (LAX–MFR)85% of its flights flew this route. The rest (SEA–SJC, SJC–SEA) are included in these numbers.
74
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 86%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 2 min early
- Average arrival delay
- 4.1%
- Cancelled
- 8 min early
- Median arrival delay
Based on 342 historical flights. Data through May 2026.
What the data says
Morning flights do better here.
AS 2186 departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 100% of the time, versus 81% between 9 PM–12 AM.
Tuesday comes out ahead.
A small edge: 89% on time on Tuesdays against 82% on Sundays.
A bit ahead of the Alaska Airlines network.
AS 2186 arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.
Keep a backup plan handy.
AS 2186 was cancelled 4.1% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.
The breakdown
- Mon88%(48 flights)
- Tue89%(44 flights)
- Wed88%(48 flights)
- Thu83%(47 flights)
- Fri87%(47 flights)
- Sat88%(41 flights)
- Sun82%(50 flights)
- 6–9 AM100%(19 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM100%(19 flights)
- 12–3 PM93%(67 flights)
- 6–9 PM94%(16 flights)
- 9 PM–12 AM81%(204 flights)
100%
May
Jun 80% → May 100% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 80% | 30 |
| July 2025 | 64% | 28 |
| August 2025 | 76% | 29 |
| September 2025 | 89% | 28 |
| October 2025 | 80% | 20 |
| November 2025 | 92% | 26 |
| December 2025 | 85% | 13 |
| January 2026 | 82% | 22 |
| February 2026 | 87% | 23 |
| March 2026 | 92% | 26 |
| April 2026 | 93% | 30 |
| May 2026 | 100% | 50 |
- Departures on time
- 85%
- Diverted
- 0.9%
- Flights flown
- 325
- Months covered
- 12
Same route, other flights
Keep nerding
Based on 342 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.