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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 2412 · Alaska Airlines

Fairbanks → Anchorage (FAIANC)85% of its flights flew this route. The rest (PDX–ANC) are included in these numbers.

47
Bring Snacks
WanderNerd Reliability Score
86%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min early
Average arrival delay
10.9%
Cancelled
12 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 129 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Mornings have a slight edge.

Departures between 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 89% of the time, against 85% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Tuesday is the weak spot.

AS 2412 arrived on time 91% of the time on Fridays. On Tuesdays: 77%.

A bit ahead of the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 2412 arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AS 2412 was cancelled 10.9% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon86%(14 flights)
  • Tue77%(13 flights)
  • Wed88%(16 flights)
  • Thu79%(14 flights)
  • Fri91%(22 flights)
  • Sat86%(14 flights)
  • Sun91%(21 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM(4 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM89%(18 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM85%(92 flights)
On-time trend by month
83%
May

Nov 79% → May 83% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
November 202579%14
March 2026100%13
April 202697%30
May 202683%29
Departures on time
88%
Diverted
0.8%
Flights flown
114
Months covered
8

Based on 129 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.