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Flight Reliability

AS 2452 · Alaska Airlines

MFR → Seattle (MFR–SEA)

84
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
92%
Arrive within 15 minutes
4 min early
Average arrival delay
4.1%
Cancelled
6 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 363 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AS 2452 arrived on time 96% of the time on Saturdays. On Sundays: 88%.

A bit ahead of the MFR–SEA route.

AS 2452 arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 88% across the MFR–SEA route.

Better than the Alaska Airlines network average.

AS 2452 arrived on time 92% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AS 2452 was cancelled 4.1% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon94%(49 flights)
  • Tue94%(50 flights)
  • Wed92%(49 flights)
  • Thu90%(50 flights)
  • Fri92%(48 flights)
  • Sat96%(51 flights)
  • Sun88%(51 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM93%(268 flights)
  • 6–9 AM90%(80 flights)
On-time trend by month
87%
May

Jun 93% → May 87% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202593%30
July 202590%31
August 202590%31
September 202597%30
October 202593%30
November 202592%26
December 202592%26
January 202692%26
February 202693%28
March 202697%31
April 202689%28
May 202687%31
Departures on time
98%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
348
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 363 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.