Flight Reliability
AS 2461 · Alaska Airlines
Seattle → MFR (SEA–MFR)
81
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 88%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 5 min early
- Average arrival delay
- 3.9%
- Cancelled
- 9 min early
- Median arrival delay
Based on 331 historical flights. Data through May 2026.
What the data says
Sunday scaries are real for this one.
AS 2461 arrived on time 96% of the time on Wednesdays and just 80% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.
Better than the Alaska Airlines network average.
AS 2461 arrived on time 88% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.
Keep a backup plan handy.
AS 2461 was cancelled 3.9% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.
The breakdown
- Mon86%(49 flights)
- Tue90%(38 flights)
- Wed96%(45 flights)
- Thu88%(48 flights)
- Fri94%(48 flights)
- Sat87%(39 flights)
- Sun80%(51 flights)
92%
May
Jun 90% → May 92% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 90% | 30 |
| July 2025 | 77% | 30 |
| August 2025 | 79% | 29 |
| September 2025 | 97% | 29 |
| October 2025 | 82% | 22 |
| November 2025 | 96% | 27 |
| December 2025 | 89% | 18 |
| January 2026 | 92% | 24 |
| February 2026 | 93% | 28 |
| March 2026 | 86% | 29 |
| April 2026 | 89% | 26 |
| May 2026 | 92% | 26 |
- Departures on time
- 85%
- Diverted
- 0%
- Flights flown
- 318
- Months covered
- 12
Same route, other flights
Keep nerding
Based on 331 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.