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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 2485 · Alaska Airlines

MFR → San Diego (MFRSAN)

82
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
77%
Arrive within 15 minutes
9 min
Average arrival delay
0%
Cancelled
1 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 282 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The 3–6 PM departure wins.

AS 2485 departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 83% of the time, versus 71% between 12–3 PM.

Friday is doing you no favors.

AS 2485 arrived on time 90% of the time on Saturdays and just 68% on Fridays. That gap is worth planning around.

A bit behind the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 2485 arrived on time 77% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

It basically never cancels.

Out of 282 scheduled flights, only 0.0% were cancelled.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon79%(42 flights)
  • Tue84%(37 flights)
  • Wed70%(40 flights)
  • Thu79%(38 flights)
  • Fri68%(41 flights)
  • Sat90%(40 flights)
  • Sun71%(42 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 PM71%(135 flights)
  • 3–6 PM83%(145 flights)
On-time trend by month
71%
Mar

Jun 83% → Mar 71% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202583%30
July 202587%31
August 202581%31
September 202590%29
October 202577%30
November 202572%29
December 202567%30
January 202660%30
February 202681%26
March 202671%14
Departures on time
78%
Diverted
0.7%
Flights flown
280
Months covered
10

Based on 282 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.