Flight Reliability
AS 2486 · Alaska Airlines
San Diego → MFR (SAN–MFR)
90
Nerd Approved
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 86%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 1 min early
- Average arrival delay
- 0%
- Cancelled
- 9 min early
- Median arrival delay
Based on 289 historical flights. Data through May 2026.
What the data says
The 12–3 PM departure wins.
AS 2486 departing between 12–3 PM arrived on time 100% of the time, versus 85% between 9 AM–12 PM.
Friday is doing you no favors.
AS 2486 arrived on time 92% of the time on Thursdays. On Fridays: 80%.
A bit ahead of the Alaska Airlines network.
AS 2486 arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.
It basically never cancels.
Out of 289 scheduled flights, only 0.0% were cancelled.
The breakdown
- Mon86%(42 flights)
- Tue88%(42 flights)
- Wed81%(41 flights)
- Thu92%(39 flights)
- Fri80%(40 flights)
- Sat90%(41 flights)
- Sun83%(41 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM85%(275 flights)
- 12–3 PM100%(11 flights)
82%
Mar
Jun 93% → Mar 82% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 93% | 30 |
| July 2025 | 97% | 31 |
| August 2025 | 87% | 31 |
| September 2025 | 93% | 30 |
| October 2025 | 87% | 30 |
| November 2025 | 72% | 29 |
| December 2025 | 74% | 31 |
| January 2026 | 76% | 29 |
| February 2026 | 93% | 28 |
| March 2026 | 82% | 17 |
- Departures on time
- 82%
- Diverted
- 1.0%
- Flights flown
- 286
- Months covered
- 10
Same route, other flights
Keep nerding
Based on 289 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.