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Flight Reliability

AS 281 · Alaska Airlines

Nashville → Seattle (BNA–SEA)82% of its flights flew this route. The rest (PDX–BOI, EWR–SEA) are included in these numbers.

89
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
85%
Arrive within 15 minutes
0 min
Average arrival delay
1.1%
Cancelled
4 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 271 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Friday is doing you no favors.

AS 281 arrived on time 92% of the time on Wednesdays and just 76% on Fridays. That gap is worth planning around.

Better than the BNA–SEA route average.

AS 281 arrived on time 85% of the time, versus 74% across the BNA–SEA route.

A bit ahead of the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 281 arrived on time 85% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

Trending in the right direction.

AS 281 arrived on time 87% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 78% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon87%(38 flights)
  • Tue87%(37 flights)
  • Wed92%(38 flights)
  • Thu87%(38 flights)
  • Fri76%(38 flights)
  • Sat90%(39 flights)
  • Sun78%(40 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM85%(118 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM85%(113 flights)
  • 3–6 PM87%(37 flights)
On-time trend by month
75%
May

Jun 83% → May 75% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202583%29
July 202583%30
August 202581%31
September 202593%30
October 202592%24
November 202590%10
December 202567%15
January 202677%31
February 202691%11
March 202693%15
April 202693%30
May 202675%12
Departures on time
85%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
268
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 271 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.