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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 295 · Alaska Airlines

Seattle → Newark (SEAEWR)88% of its flights flew this route. The rest (SEA–MCO, DEN–SAN) are included in these numbers.

81
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
80%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min
Average arrival delay
1.7%
Cancelled
6 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 180 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The 12–3 PM departure wins.

AS 295 departing between 12–3 PM arrived on time 91% of the time, versus 79% between 6–9 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AS 295 arrived on time 92% of the time on Fridays and just 76% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Recent months have been rougher.

AS 295 arrived on time 77% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 86% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon84%(25 flights)
  • Tue76%(25 flights)
  • Wed79%(29 flights)
  • Thu76%(25 flights)
  • Fri92%(25 flights)
  • Sat78%(23 flights)
  • Sun76%(25 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM79%(154 flights)
  • 12–3 PM91%(22 flights)
  • 3–6 PM(1 flights)
On-time trend by month
77%
May

Aug 92% → May 77% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
August 202592%12
September 202587%30
October 202580%30
November 202578%27
December 202576%29
May 202677%31
Departures on time
83%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
177
Months covered
11

Based on 180 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.