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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 31 · Alaska Airlines

New York → Seattle (JFKSEA)

58
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
69%
Arrive within 15 minutes
15 min
Average arrival delay
3.6%
Cancelled
1 min
Median arrival delay

Based on 363 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

AS 31 departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 89% of the time, versus 68% between 3–6 PM.

Skip Wednesday if you can.

AS 31 arrived on time 76% of the time on Saturdays. On Wednesdays: 63%.

Lagging the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 31 arrived on time 69% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AS 31 was cancelled 3.6% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon69%(49 flights)
  • Tue69%(52 flights)
  • Wed63%(51 flights)
  • Thu67%(48 flights)
  • Fri64%(50 flights)
  • Sat76%(49 flights)
  • Sun76%(49 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM89%(18 flights)
  • 3–6 PM68%(330 flights)
On-time trend by month
87%
May

Jun 41% → May 87% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202541%29
July 202562%29
August 202574%31
September 202587%30
October 202589%28
November 202567%24
December 202543%30
January 202677%30
February 202665%26
March 202655%31
April 202680%30
May 202687%30
Departures on time
77%
Diverted
0.6%
Flights flown
348
Months covered
12

Based on 363 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.