Flight Reliability
AS 3407 · Alaska Airlines
Los Angeles → San Francisco (LAX–SFO)93% of its flights flew this route. The rest (GEG–PDX, FAT–SEA) are included in these numbers.
79
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 80%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 4 min
- Average arrival delay
- 2.2%
- Cancelled
- 9 min early
- Median arrival delay
Based on 134 historical flights. Data through May 2026.
What the data says
The 3–6 PM departure wins.
AS 3407 departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 81% of the time, versus 73% between 6–9 PM.
Friday is doing you no favors.
AS 3407 arrived on time 100% of the time on Saturdays and just 74% on Fridays. That gap is worth planning around.
Better than the LAX–SFO route average.
AS 3407 arrived on time 80% of the time, versus 69% across the LAX–SFO route.
The breakdown
- Mon74%(23 flights)
- Tue81%(16 flights)
- Wed81%(16 flights)
- Thu76%(21 flights)
- Fri74%(23 flights)
- Sat100%(11 flights)
- Sun86%(21 flights)
- 3–6 AM—(7 flights)
- 9 AM–12 PM—(1 flights)
- 3–6 PM81%(112 flights)
- 6–9 PM73%(11 flights)
71%
Oct
Jun 78% → Oct 71% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 78% | 23 |
| July 2025 | 75% | 16 |
| August 2025 | 86% | 22 |
| September 2025 | 90% | 30 |
| October 2025 | 71% | 24 |
- Departures on time
- 76%
- Diverted
- 0%
- Flights flown
- 131
- Months covered
- 9
Same route, other flights
Keep nerding
Based on 134 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.