Flight Reliability
AS 386 · Alaska Airlines
Seattle → Minneapolis (SEA–MSP)
81
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
- 78%
- Arrive within 15 minutes
- 1 min
- Average arrival delay
- 1.2%
- Cancelled
- 7 min early
- Median arrival delay
Based on 326 historical flights. Data through May 2026.
What the data says
Sunday scaries are real for this one.
AS 386 arrived on time 86% of the time on Wednesdays. On Sundays: 72%.
Lagging the SEA–MSP route.
AS 386 arrived on time 78% of the time, versus 86% across the SEA–MSP route.
The breakdown
- Mon75%(52 flights)
- Tue84%(44 flights)
- Wed86%(43 flights)
- Thu76%(49 flights)
- Fri80%(49 flights)
- Sat75%(32 flights)
- Sun72%(53 flights)
86%
May
Jun 69% → May 86% on time
| Month | On-time percentage | Flights |
|---|---|---|
| June 2025 | 69% | 29 |
| July 2025 | 57% | 30 |
| August 2025 | 55% | 29 |
| September 2025 | 81% | 26 |
| October 2025 | 84% | 19 |
| November 2025 | 82% | 28 |
| December 2025 | 84% | 31 |
| January 2026 | 95% | 20 |
| February 2026 | 78% | 23 |
| March 2026 | 79% | 29 |
| April 2026 | 93% | 30 |
| May 2026 | 86% | 28 |
- Departures on time
- 76%
- Diverted
- 0%
- Flights flown
- 322
- Months covered
- 12
Same route, other flights
Keep nerding
Based on 326 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.