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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 502 · Alaska Airlines

Seattle → Austin (SEAAUS)95% of its flights flew this route. The rest (AUS–SEA) are included in these numbers.

82
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
82%
Arrive within 15 minutes
3 min
Average arrival delay
1.6%
Cancelled
4 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 384 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The 6–9 AM departure wins.

AS 502 departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 93% of the time, versus 78% between 9 AM–12 PM.

Friday is doing you no favors.

AS 502 arrived on time 89% of the time on Thursdays. On Fridays: 76%.

Trending in the right direction.

AS 502 arrived on time 95% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 78% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon81%(53 flights)
  • Tue87%(54 flights)
  • Wed78%(55 flights)
  • Thu89%(55 flights)
  • Fri76%(53 flights)
  • Sat81%(52 flights)
  • Sun80%(55 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM93%(86 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM78%(272 flights)
  • 3–6 PM90%(19 flights)
On-time trend by month
88%
May

Jun 59% → May 88% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202559%29
July 202570%30
August 202577%31
September 202590%30
October 202586%29
November 202577%30
December 202568%31
January 202677%30
February 202689%28
March 202697%29
April 2026100%30
May 202688%50
Departures on time
78%
Diverted
0.3%
Flights flown
377
Months covered
12

Based on 384 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.