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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 534 · Alaska Airlines

San Francisco → Austin (SFOAUS)81% of its flights flew this route. The rest (PDX–LAS, DFW–SEA) are included in these numbers.

73
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
73%
Arrive within 15 minutes
7 min
Average arrival delay
1.4%
Cancelled
1 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 220 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The 3–6 PM departure wins.

AS 534 departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 88% of the time, versus 64% between 12–3 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AS 534 arrived on time 82% of the time on Fridays and just 58% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

A bit behind the SFO–AUS route.

AS 534 arrived on time 73% of the time, versus 77% across the SFO–AUS route.

Lagging the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 534 arrived on time 73% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon81%(36 flights)
  • Tue77%(26 flights)
  • Wed70%(23 flights)
  • Thu69%(35 flights)
  • Fri82%(33 flights)
  • Sat76%(25 flights)
  • Sun58%(38 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM67%(18 flights)
  • 12–3 PM64%(67 flights)
  • 3–6 PM88%(58 flights)
  • 6–9 PM70%(73 flights)
On-time trend by month
73%
May

Jun 64% → May 73% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202564%28
July 202559%29
August 202568%25
September 202588%17
October 202574%19
November 202588%25
December 202582%27
May 202673%30
Departures on time
78%
Diverted
0.5%
Flights flown
216
Months covered
11

Based on 220 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.