Skip to content
WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 638 · Alaska Airlines

Seattle → Tucson (SEATUS)

86
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
82%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min early
Average arrival delay
1.1%
Cancelled
6 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 190 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AS 638 arrived on time 93% of the time on Thursdays and just 72% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Trending in the right direction.

AS 638 arrived on time 92% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 78% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon75%(32 flights)
  • Tue83%(24 flights)
  • Wed80%(25 flights)
  • Thu93%(29 flights)
  • Fri90%(30 flights)
  • Sat81%(16 flights)
  • Sun72%(32 flights)
On-time trend by month
100%
May

Oct 82% → May 100% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
October 202582%17
November 202572%29
December 202565%23
January 202681%26
February 202688%24
March 202679%28
April 202697%30
May 2026100%11
Departures on time
80%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
188
Months covered
8

Based on 190 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.