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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

AS 686 · Alaska Airlines

Seattle → SBA (SEASBA)

87
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
85%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min early
Average arrival delay
1.5%
Cancelled
8 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 206 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

AS 686 arrived on time 100% of the time on Tuesdays and just 78% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

A bit ahead of the Alaska Airlines network.

AS 686 arrived on time 85% of the time, versus 80% across the Alaska Airlines network.

Ticking up lately.

AS 686 arrived on time 87% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 82% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon84%(31 flights)
  • Tue100%(28 flights)
  • Wed82%(27 flights)
  • Thu86%(29 flights)
  • Fri80%(30 flights)
  • Sat85%(26 flights)
  • Sun78%(32 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM84%(68 flights)
  • 3–6 PM85%(135 flights)
On-time trend by month
91%
May

Nov 86% → May 91% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
November 202586%29
December 202579%28
January 202683%29
February 202686%28
March 202680%30
April 202690%30
May 202691%23
Departures on time
84%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
203
Months covered
8

Based on 206 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.