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Flight Reliability

DL 2954 · Delta Air Lines

Minneapolis → Bozeman (MSP–BZN)

81
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
9 min
Average arrival delay
0.6%
Cancelled
3 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 325 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

9 PM–12 AM has a slight edge.

Departures between 9 PM–12 AM arrived on time 76% of the time, against 72% between 6–9 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

DL 2954 arrived on time 85% of the time on Wednesdays and just 65% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

A bit behind the MSP–BZN route.

DL 2954 arrived on time 75% of the time, versus 81% across the MSP–BZN route.

A bit behind the Delta Air Lines network.

DL 2954 arrived on time 75% of the time, versus 81% across the Delta Air Lines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon77%(47 flights)
  • Tue79%(47 flights)
  • Wed85%(47 flights)
  • Thu67%(45 flights)
  • Fri76%(46 flights)
  • Sat76%(45 flights)
  • Sun65%(46 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 PM72%(96 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM76%(227 flights)
On-time trend by month
74%
May

Jun 77% → May 74% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202577%30
July 202574%31
August 202581%31
September 202587%30
October 202590%31
November 202576%29
December 202557%30
January 202650%16
February 202673%11
March 202648%23
April 202693%30
May 202674%31
Departures on time
76%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
323
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 325 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.