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Flight Reliability

F9 2538 · Frontier Airlines

Tampa → Philadelphia (TPA–PHL)

53
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
65%
Arrive within 15 minutes
32 min
Average arrival delay
2.1%
Cancelled
1 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 195 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The late departure is the smart one here.

F9 2538 departing between 6–9 PM arrived on time 75% of the time, versus 21% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Mondays have been rough.

F9 2538 arrived on time 88% of the time on Wednesdays and just 52% on Mondays. That gap is worth planning around.

Lagging the TPA–PHL route.

F9 2538 arrived on time 65% of the time, versus 75% across the TPA–PHL route.

Lagging the Frontier Airlines network.

F9 2538 arrived on time 65% of the time, versus 73% across the Frontier Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon52%(29 flights)
  • Tue77%(17 flights)
  • Wed88%(17 flights)
  • Thu55%(42 flights)
  • Fri82%(28 flights)
  • Sat61%(23 flights)
  • Sun60%(35 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM—(4 flights)
  • 12–3 PM67%(58 flights)
  • 3–6 PM69%(98 flights)
  • 6–9 PM75%(12 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM21%(19 flights)
On-time trend by month
73%
May

Aug 57% → May 73% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
August 202557%14
October 202563%19
November 202579%19
December 202567%12
January 202667%12
February 202680%15
March 202662%26
April 202674%23
May 202673%26
Departures on time
65%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
191
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 195 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.