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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

F9 2857 · Frontier Airlines

Los Angeles → San Francisco (LAXSFO)

37
Bring Snacks
WanderNerd Reliability Score
50%
Arrive within 15 minutes
29 min
Average arrival delay
2.9%
Cancelled
14 min
Median arrival delay

Based on 204 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The 3–6 PM departure wins.

F9 2857 departing between 3–6 PM arrived on time 62% of the time, versus 44% between 6–9 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

F9 2857 arrived on time 62% of the time on Tuesdays and just 39% on Sundays. That gap is worth planning around.

Well behind the LAX–SFO route.

F9 2857 arrived on time 50% of the time, versus 69% across the LAX–SFO route.

Well behind the Frontier Airlines network.

F9 2857 arrived on time 50% of the time, versus 73% across the Frontier Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon48%(31 flights)
  • Tue62%(21 flights)
  • Wed57%(23 flights)
  • Thu50%(30 flights)
  • Fri43%(35 flights)
  • Sat60%(25 flights)
  • Sun39%(33 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 PM62%(37 flights)
  • 6–9 PM44%(153 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM(8 flights)
On-time trend by month
38%
May

Sep 60% → May 38% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
September 202560%10
October 202550%20
November 202540%30
December 202560%30
January 202670%20
February 202675%16
March 202669%26
April 202610%30
May 202638%16
Departures on time
57%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
198
Months covered
9

Based on 204 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.