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Flight Reliability

F9 2953 · Frontier Airlines

Washington → Tampa (IAD–TPA)

51
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
66%
Arrive within 15 minutes
15 min
Average arrival delay
5.3%
Cancelled
7 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 169 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The late departure is the smart one here.

F9 2953 departing between 9 PM–12 AM arrived on time 93% of the time, versus 34% between 6–9 PM.

Saturdays have been rough.

F9 2953 arrived on time 76% of the time on Mondays and just 44% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Lagging the IAD–TPA route.

F9 2953 arrived on time 66% of the time, versus 80% across the IAD–TPA route.

A bit behind the Frontier Airlines network.

F9 2953 arrived on time 66% of the time, versus 73% across the Frontier Airlines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon76%(29 flights)
  • Tue—(2 flights)
  • Wed—(1 flights)
  • Thu64%(39 flights)
  • Fri69%(35 flights)
  • Sat44%(16 flights)
  • Sun66%(38 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM—(2 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM88%(25 flights)
  • 12–3 PM85%(26 flights)
  • 3–6 PM71%(42 flights)
  • 6–9 PM34%(50 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM93%(15 flights)
On-time trend by month
79%
Mar

Jun 17% → Mar 79% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202517%18
July 202520%20
August 202545%20
September 2025100%13
November 202573%15
December 202586%21
January 202693%15
March 202679%14
Departures on time
73%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
160
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 169 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.