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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

UA 4871 · United Airlines

Washington → Rochester (IADROC)98% of its flights flew this route. The rest (XNA–IAH) are included in these numbers.

48
Bring Snacks
WanderNerd Reliability Score
70%
Arrive within 15 minutes
19 min
Average arrival delay
6.3%
Cancelled
2 min
Median arrival delay

Based on 174 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Saturdays have been rough.

UA 4871 arrived on time 82% of the time on Tuesdays and just 58% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Lagging the IAD–ROC route.

UA 4871 arrived on time 70% of the time, versus 78% across the IAD–ROC route.

Lagging the United Airlines network.

UA 4871 arrived on time 70% of the time, versus 79% across the United Airlines network.

Keep a backup plan handy.

UA 4871 was cancelled 6.3% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon74%(23 flights)
  • Tue82%(22 flights)
  • Wed73%(22 flights)
  • Thu79%(24 flights)
  • Fri65%(26 flights)
  • Sat58%(19 flights)
  • Sun59%(27 flights)
On-time trend by month
91%
May

Jun 54% → May 91% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202554%28
July 202558%24
August 202568%31
September 202579%29
October 202586%21
December 202573%11
May 202691%11
Departures on time
74%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
163
Months covered
9

Based on 174 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.