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WanderNerd

Flight Reliability

UA 4874 · United Airlines

Rochester → Washington (ROCIAD)84% of its flights flew this route. The rest (IAD–MDT, CRP–IAH) are included in these numbers.

56
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
80%
Arrive within 15 minutes
32 min
Average arrival delay
5.2%
Cancelled
7 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 172 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

The late departure is the smart one here.

UA 4874 departing between 6–9 PM arrived on time 82% of the time, versus 70% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Saturdays have been rough.

UA 4874 arrived on time 87% of the time on Mondays and just 65% on Saturdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Keep a backup plan handy.

UA 4874 was cancelled 5.2% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Trending in the right direction.

UA 4874 arrived on time 89% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 78% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon87%(23 flights)
  • Tue86%(22 flights)
  • Wed86%(21 flights)
  • Thu85%(26 flights)
  • Fri76%(25 flights)
  • Sat65%(20 flights)
  • Sun73%(26 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 PM82%(136 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM70%(27 flights)
On-time trend by month
91%
May

Jun 62% → May 91% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202562%29
July 202558%24
August 202587%31
September 202590%29
October 202595%21
December 202582%11
May 202691%11
Departures on time
80%
Diverted
0%
Flights flown
163
Months covered
9

Based on 172 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.