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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Denver → Chicago

DENMDW · 895 miles · Denver International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport

73
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
74%
Arrive within 15 minutes
11 min
Average arrival delay
1.7%
Cancelled
2,385
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Southwest Airlines74%2,271 flights
  2. 2.Frontier Airlines67%114 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

DEN–MDW flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 93% of the time, versus 49% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

DEN–MDW flights arrived on time 82% of the time on Wednesdays. On Sundays: 68%.

Southwest Airlines runs this route best.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 74% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 67%.

Slipping a little lately.

DEN–MDW flights arrived on time 75% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 80% in the three months before that.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon74%(374 flights)
  • Tue77%(312 flights)
  • Wed82%(303 flights)
  • Thu70%(351 flights)
  • Fri75%(366 flights)
  • Sat75%(256 flights)
  • Sun68%(370 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM92%(143 flights)
  • 6–9 AM93%(475 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM84%(372 flights)
  • 12–3 PM75%(498 flights)
  • 3–6 PM57%(405 flights)
  • 6–9 PM54%(384 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM49%(55 flights)
On-time trend by month
76%
May

Jun 59% → May 76% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202559%272
July 202567%286
August 202567%222
September 202579%203
October 202584%214
November 202586%172
December 202572%192
January 202687%156
February 202680%137
March 202672%162
April 202676%155
May 202676%161

Based on 2,385 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.