Skip to content
WanderNerd
Check a flight

Route Reliability

New York → Minneapolis

JFK–MSP · 1,029 miles · John F. Kennedy International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

75
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
80%
Arrive within 15 minutes
6 min
Average arrival delay
2.8%
Cancelled
1,094
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 80% of the time across 1,094 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

The 12–3 PM departure wins.

JFK–MSP flights departing between 12–3 PM arrived on time 96% of the time, versus 62% between 3–6 PM.

Thursday is the weak spot.

JFK–MSP flights arrived on time 86% of the time on Fridays. On Thursdays: 78%.

Ticking up lately.

JFK–MSP flights arrived on time 81% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 75% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon80%(147 flights)
  • Tue80%(153 flights)
  • Wed79%(155 flights)
  • Thu78%(151 flights)
  • Fri86%(153 flights)
  • Sat79%(152 flights)
  • Sun79%(148 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM88%(354 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM86%(331 flights)
  • 12–3 PM96%(25 flights)
  • 3–6 PM62%(161 flights)
  • 6–9 PM70%(188 flights)
On-time trend by month
88%
May

Jun 77% → May 88% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202577%90
July 202579%90
August 202583%92
September 202591%89
October 202581%91
November 202582%89
December 202567%87
January 202679%85
February 202681%78
March 202667%87
April 202688%89
May 202688%92

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 1,094 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.