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Route Reliability

Madison → Phoenix

MSN–PHX · 1,396 miles · Dane County Regional Airport to Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport

84
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
81%
Arrive within 15 minutes
9 min
Average arrival delay
1.1%
Cancelled
532
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

American Airlines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 81% of the time across 532 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

The 12–3 PM departure wins.

MSN–PHX flights departing between 12–3 PM arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 73% between 6–9 PM.

Thursday has been the better bet.

A small edge: 84% on time on Thursdays against 77% on Sundays.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon81%(79 flights)
  • Tue82%(60 flights)
  • Wed78%(74 flights)
  • Thu84%(82 flights)
  • Fri82%(79 flights)
  • Sat79%(68 flights)
  • Sun77%(84 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM83%(359 flights)
  • 12–3 PM86%(28 flights)
  • 3–6 PM74%(102 flights)
  • 6–9 PM73%(37 flights)
On-time trend by month
85%
May

Jun 80% → May 85% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202580%30
July 202594%31
August 202587%31
September 202583%30
October 202586%43
November 202584%44
December 202576%50
January 202674%49
February 202682%45
March 202673%59
April 202675%56
May 202685%58

Keep nerding

Based on 532 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.