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Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Dallas–Fort Worth

MSP–DFW · 852 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Dallas Fort Worth International Airport

73
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
77%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
2.3%
Cancelled
3,248
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines78%1,412 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines77%1,626 flights
  3. 3.Frontier Airlines74%210 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

MSP–DFW flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 65% between 6–9 PM.

Saturday is the weak spot.

MSP–DFW flights arrived on time 81% of the time on Tuesdays. On Saturdays: 73%.

Delta Air Lines has a slight edge here.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 78% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 74%.

Ticking up lately.

MSP–DFW flights arrived on time 80% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 75% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon78%(462 flights)
  • Tue81%(432 flights)
  • Wed74%(426 flights)
  • Thu80%(488 flights)
  • Fri78%(475 flights)
  • Sat73%(383 flights)
  • Sun74%(486 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM83%(138 flights)
  • 6–9 AM86%(793 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM81%(799 flights)
  • 12–3 PM72%(474 flights)
  • 3–6 PM70%(357 flights)
  • 6–9 PM65%(514 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM78%(77 flights)
On-time trend by month
78%
May

Jun 66% → May 78% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202566%268
July 202568%275
August 202579%256
September 202582%250
October 202585%293
November 202582%265
December 202566%273
January 202675%237
February 202683%237
March 202686%273
April 202676%256
May 202678%269

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 3,248 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.