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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Minneapolis → ESC

MSPESC · 304 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to ESC Airport

77
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
88%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min
Average arrival delay
4.6%
Cancelled
263
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 88% of the time across 263 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Mornings have a slight edge.

Departures between 6–9 AM arrived on time 89% of the time, against 84% between 12–3 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

MSP–ESC flights arrived on time 92% of the time on Thursdays. On Sundays: 84%.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 4.6% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Trending in the right direction.

MSP–ESC flights arrived on time 90% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 82% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon90%(49 flights)
  • Tue(5 flights)
  • Wed87%(46 flights)
  • Thu92%(48 flights)
  • Fri88%(49 flights)
  • Sat(4 flights)
  • Sun84%(50 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM89%(180 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM85%(27 flights)
  • 12–3 PM84%(44 flights)
On-time trend by month
87%
May

Jun 86% → May 87% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202586%22
July 202582%22
August 2025100%21
September 202596%23
October 202591%23
November 202579%19
December 202575%20
January 202682%22
February 202690%20
March 202688%17
April 202695%19
May 202687%23

Based on 263 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.