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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Santa Ana

MSPSNA · 1,522 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to John Wayne Airport

67
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
70%
Arrive within 15 minutes
15 min
Average arrival delay
1.2%
Cancelled
585
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 70% of the time across 585 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

MSP–SNA flights departing between 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 76% of the time, versus 67% between 6–9 PM.

Skip Thursday if you can.

MSP–SNA flights arrived on time 76% of the time on Wednesdays. On Thursdays: 65%.

Trending in the right direction.

MSP–SNA flights arrived on time 84% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 57% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon72%(101 flights)
  • Tue75%(51 flights)
  • Wed76%(78 flights)
  • Thu65%(101 flights)
  • Fri69%(98 flights)
  • Sat66%(50 flights)
  • Sun69%(94 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM76%(220 flights)
  • 6–9 PM67%(353 flights)
On-time trend by month
85%
May

Jun 73% → May 85% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202573%52
July 202565%52
August 202573%52
September 202571%51
October 202565%52
November 202567%49
December 202542%41
January 202661%43
February 202668%41
March 202682%45
April 202685%47
May 202685%48

Based on 585 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.