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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Chicago → Nashville

ORDBNA · 409 miles · Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Nashville International Airport

63
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
70%
Arrive within 15 minutes
19 min
Average arrival delay
2.4%
Cancelled
5,031
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines72%2,375 flights
  2. 2.Southwest Airlines71%365 flights
  3. 3.American Airlines67%2,160 flights

Not enough history to rank: Frontier Airlines (96 flights), Spirit Airlines (35 flights). We rank airlines only after 100 flights on the route.

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

ORD–BNA flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 82% of the time, versus 58% between 6–9 PM.

Skip Monday if you can.

ORD–BNA flights arrived on time 76% of the time on Saturdays. On Mondays: 65%.

United Airlines has a slight edge here.

United Airlines arrived on time 72% of the time on this route; American Airlines managed 67%.

Ticking up lately.

ORD–BNA flights arrived on time 71% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 66% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon65%(748 flights)
  • Tue72%(663 flights)
  • Wed72%(673 flights)
  • Thu71%(737 flights)
  • Fri67%(732 flights)
  • Sat76%(601 flights)
  • Sun66%(747 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM(1 flights)
  • 6–9 AM82%(868 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM80%(657 flights)
  • 12–3 PM73%(1334 flights)
  • 3–6 PM60%(966 flights)
  • 6–9 PM58%(655 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM58%(420 flights)
On-time trend by month
76%
May

Jun 69% → May 76% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202569%417
July 202557%400
August 202576%402
September 202581%396
October 202568%478
November 202570%409
December 202557%359
January 202669%308
February 202673%329
March 202662%418
April 202675%494
May 202676%491

Based on 5,031 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.