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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Chicago → Buffalo

ORDBUF · 474 miles · Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Buffalo Niagara International Airport

64
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
72%
Arrive within 15 minutes
17 min
Average arrival delay
2.8%
Cancelled
2,539
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines73%1,308 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines71%1,231 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

ORD–BUF flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 87% of the time, versus 44% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

ORD–BUF flights arrived on time 76% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 66%.

Not much between United Airlines and American Airlines.

On this route they all land within 71% to 73% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon72%(367 flights)
  • Tue76%(353 flights)
  • Wed72%(355 flights)
  • Thu75%(366 flights)
  • Fri69%(359 flights)
  • Sat74%(310 flights)
  • Sun66%(354 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM(1 flights)
  • 6–9 AM87%(474 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM74%(535 flights)
  • 12–3 PM75%(662 flights)
  • 3–6 PM63%(119 flights)
  • 6–9 PM59%(602 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM44%(71 flights)
On-time trend by month
74%
May

Jun 75% → May 74% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202575%233
July 202565%240
August 202578%207
September 202580%208
October 202577%211
November 202573%207
December 202564%187
January 202671%169
February 202669%163
March 202665%178
April 202669%218
May 202674%243

Based on 2,539 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.