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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Chicago → Rochester

ORDROC · 528 miles · Chicago O'Hare International Airport to Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport

74
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
2.0%
Cancelled
2,458
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.American Airlines78%1,145 flights
  2. 2.United Airlines73%1,313 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

ORD–ROC flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 67% between 12–3 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

ORD–ROC flights arrived on time 80% of the time on Thursdays. On Sundays: 68%.

American Airlines has a slight edge here.

American Airlines arrived on time 78% of the time on this route; United Airlines managed 73%.

Trending in the right direction.

ORD–ROC flights arrived on time 76% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 67% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon76%(358 flights)
  • Tue79%(346 flights)
  • Wed75%(344 flights)
  • Thu80%(351 flights)
  • Fri74%(348 flights)
  • Sat76%(299 flights)
  • Sun68%(357 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM86%(528 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM84%(454 flights)
  • 12–3 PM67%(433 flights)
  • 3–6 PM74%(322 flights)
  • 6–9 PM68%(570 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM68%(96 flights)
On-time trend by month
83%
May

Jun 79% → May 83% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202579%215
July 202576%206
August 202578%197
September 202583%212
October 202579%227
November 202577%217
December 202567%200
January 202669%155
February 202665%158
March 202673%176
April 202672%219
May 202683%221

Based on 2,458 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.