Skip to content
WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Phoenix → Chicago

PHXMDW · 1,444 miles · Phoenix Sky Harbor International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport

76
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
1.1%
Cancelled
2,815
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Southwest Airlines76%2,679 flights
  2. 2.Frontier Airlines68%136 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

PHX–MDW flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 94% of the time, versus 61% between 3–6 PM.

Skip Monday if you can.

PHX–MDW flights arrived on time 82% of the time on Wednesdays. On Mondays: 70%.

Southwest Airlines runs this route best.

Southwest Airlines arrived on time 76% of the time on this route; Frontier Airlines managed 68%.

Recent months have been rougher.

PHX–MDW flights arrived on time 68% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 78% in the three months before that.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon70%(426 flights)
  • Tue77%(387 flights)
  • Wed82%(384 flights)
  • Thu73%(429 flights)
  • Fri75%(412 flights)
  • Sat78%(308 flights)
  • Sun73%(421 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM94%(255 flights)
  • 6–9 AM88%(600 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM80%(403 flights)
  • 12–3 PM70%(490 flights)
  • 3–6 PM61%(532 flights)
  • 6–9 PM64%(405 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM81%(82 flights)
On-time trend by month
65%
May

Jun 75% → May 65% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202575%237
July 202577%248
August 202578%210
September 202584%202
October 202582%265
November 202575%212
December 202577%240
January 202677%200
February 202679%204
March 202664%270
April 202674%245
May 202665%234

Based on 2,815 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.