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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Providence → Chicago

PVDORD · 849 miles · Rhode Island T. F. Green International Airport to Chicago O'Hare International Airport

64
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
73%
Arrive within 15 minutes
17 min
Average arrival delay
3.2%
Cancelled
1,632
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines77%739 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines70%893 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

PVD–ORD flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 85% of the time, versus 53% between 6–9 PM.

Thursday comes out ahead.

A small edge: 77% on time on Thursdays against 70% on Sundays.

United Airlines runs this route best.

United Airlines arrived on time 77% of the time on this route; American Airlines managed 70%.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 3.2% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon73%(222 flights)
  • Tue71%(213 flights)
  • Wed75%(230 flights)
  • Thu77%(231 flights)
  • Fri74%(234 flights)
  • Sat72%(215 flights)
  • Sun70%(233 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM84%(31 flights)
  • 6–9 AM85%(613 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM79%(135 flights)
  • 12–3 PM74%(147 flights)
  • 3–6 PM61%(607 flights)
  • 6–9 PM53%(45 flights)
On-time trend by month
84%
May

Jun 73% → May 84% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202573%123
July 202569%115
August 202573%109
September 202570%122
October 202567%141
November 202574%136
December 202566%129
January 202670%115
February 202677%116
March 202673%147
April 202679%144
May 202684%181

Based on 1,632 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.