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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Rochester → Chicago

ROCMDW · 523 miles · Frederick Douglass Greater Rochester International Airport to Chicago Midway International Airport

86
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
83%
Arrive within 15 minutes
2 min
Average arrival delay
1.2%
Cancelled
431
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Southwest Airlines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 83% of the time across 431 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

ROC–MDW flights departing between 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 100% of the time, versus 69% between 6–9 PM.

Mondays have been rough.

ROC–MDW flights arrived on time 91% of the time on Wednesdays and just 73% on Mondays. That gap is worth planning around.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon73%(63 flights)
  • Tue87%(63 flights)
  • Wed91%(63 flights)
  • Thu84%(62 flights)
  • Fri83%(64 flights)
  • Sat90%(48 flights)
  • Sun75%(63 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM92%(211 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM100%(19 flights)
  • 12–3 PM(9 flights)
  • 3–6 PM80%(30 flights)
  • 6–9 PM69%(157 flights)
On-time trend by month
84%
May

Jun 100% → May 84% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 2025100%26
July 202577%30
August 202597%31
September 202593%30
October 202594%31
November 202589%27
December 202576%29
January 202669%26
February 202682%27
March 202666%56
April 202682%56
May 202684%57

Based on 431 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.