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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Seattle → Sacramento

SEASMF · 605 miles · Seattle–Tacoma International Airport to Sacramento International Airport

87
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
82%
Arrive within 15 minutes
3 min
Average arrival delay
0.5%
Cancelled
4,602
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines91%1,620 flights
  2. 2.Alaska Airlines80%1,812 flights
  3. 3.Southwest Airlines72%1,170 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

SEA–SMF flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 97% of the time, versus 70% between 9 PM–12 AM.

Tuesday comes out ahead.

A small edge: 85% on time on Tuesdays against 78% on Thursdays.

Delta Air Lines has a clear lead on this route.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 91% of the time on this route; Southwest Airlines managed 72%.

Ticking up lately.

SEA–SMF flights arrived on time 85% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 82% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon83%(697 flights)
  • Tue85%(639 flights)
  • Wed84%(639 flights)
  • Thu78%(691 flights)
  • Fri79%(691 flights)
  • Sat83%(530 flights)
  • Sun80%(682 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM97%(158 flights)
  • 6–9 AM93%(757 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM83%(929 flights)
  • 12–3 PM83%(697 flights)
  • 3–6 PM77%(733 flights)
  • 6–9 PM76%(885 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM70%(410 flights)
On-time trend by month
86%
May

Jun 74% → May 86% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202574%441
July 202574%452
August 202579%426
September 202585%397
October 202586%400
November 202585%372
December 202575%340
January 202685%313
February 202685%302
March 202683%361
April 202688%369
May 202686%396

Based on 4,602 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.