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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

San Francisco → Washington

SFOIAD · 2,418 miles · San Francisco International Airport to Washington Dulles International Airport

87
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
83%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min
Average arrival delay
0.7%
Cancelled
2,829
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.United Airlines85%2,671 flights
  2. 2.Alaska Airlines50%158 flights

What the data says

The 12–3 AM departure wins.

SFO–IAD flights departing between 12–3 AM arrived on time 87% of the time, versus 76% between 9 AM–12 PM.

Tuesday has been the better bet.

A small edge: 84% on time on Tuesdays against 81% on Saturdays.

United Airlines has a clear lead on this route.

United Airlines arrived on time 85% of the time on this route; Alaska Airlines managed 50%.

Slipping a little lately.

SFO–IAD flights arrived on time 85% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 89% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon84%(407 flights)
  • Tue84%(378 flights)
  • Wed81%(396 flights)
  • Thu83%(408 flights)
  • Fri84%(412 flights)
  • Sat81%(389 flights)
  • Sun82%(413 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 AM87%(55 flights)
  • 6–9 AM87%(516 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM76%(443 flights)
  • 12–3 PM76%(419 flights)
  • 3–6 PM86%(302 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM85%(1068 flights)
On-time trend by month
84%
May

Jun 71% → May 84% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202571%272
July 202566%264
August 202580%251
September 202583%206
October 202590%246
November 202586%228
December 202587%245
January 202689%201
February 202692%189
March 202687%203
April 202684%230
May 202684%268

Based on 2,829 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.