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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Tucson → Minneapolis

TUSMSP · 1,298 miles · Tucson International Airport to Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport

80
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
86%
Arrive within 15 minutes
2 min
Average arrival delay
3.5%
Cancelled
173
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Delta Air Lines is the only airline in this data on this route, arriving on time 86% of the time across 173 flights. No comparison to make.

What the data says

Departure time hasn't mattered much.

On-time rates stay between 84% and 86% across the day.

Thursdays have been rough.

TUS–MSP flights arrived on time 100% of the time on Sundays and just 75% on Thursdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 3.5% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Ticking up lately.

TUS–MSP flights arrived on time 89% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 82% in the three months before that.

Flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon88%(25 flights)
  • Tue83%(24 flights)
  • Wed79%(24 flights)
  • Thu75%(24 flights)
  • Fri88%(24 flights)
  • Sat88%(24 flights)
  • Sun100%(22 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 12–3 PM86%(130 flights)
  • 3–6 PM84%(37 flights)
On-time trend by month
93%
Apr

Nov 94% → Apr 93% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
November 202594%18
December 202577%30
January 202676%25
February 202689%28
March 202683%30
April 202693%30

Based on 173 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.