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Flight Reliability

AA 4658 · American Airlines

New York → Raleigh–Durham (JFK–RDU)88% of its flights flew this route. The rest (LGA–STL) are included in these numbers.

67
Usually Fine
WanderNerd Reliability Score
75%
Arrive within 15 minutes
8 min
Average arrival delay
3.1%
Cancelled
2 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 318 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

AA 4658 departing between 9 AM–12 PM arrived on time 95% of the time, versus 66% between 3–6 PM.

Thursdays have been rough.

AA 4658 arrived on time 80% of the time on Wednesdays and just 62% on Thursdays. That gap is worth planning around.

Keep a backup plan handy.

AA 4658 was cancelled 3.1% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Trending in the right direction.

AA 4658 arrived on time 87% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 52% in the three months before that.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon79%(42 flights)
  • Tue76%(46 flights)
  • Wed80%(46 flights)
  • Thu62%(45 flights)
  • Fri74%(46 flights)
  • Sat78%(41 flights)
  • Sun77%(39 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 9 AM–12 PM95%(37 flights)
  • 12–3 PM82%(103 flights)
  • 3–6 PM66%(157 flights)
  • 6–9 PM—(8 flights)
On-time trend by month
93%
May

Jun 63% → May 93% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202563%30
July 202583%29
August 202597%31
September 202583%29
November 202563%27
December 202541%22
January 202652%23
February 202664%25
March 202673%30
April 202696%27
May 202693%27
Departures on time
84%
Diverted
0.9%
Flights flown
305
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 318 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.