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Route Reliability

New York → Raleigh–Durham

JFK–RDU · 427 miles · John F. Kennedy International Airport to Raleigh–Durham International Airport

63
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
76%
Arrive within 15 minutes
8 min
Average arrival delay
5.2%
Cancelled
3,810
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines79%1,547 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines77%1,346 flights
  3. 3.JetBlue Airways71%917 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

JFK–RDU flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 86% of the time, versus 67% between 6–9 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

JFK–RDU flights arrived on time 81% of the time on Tuesdays. On Sundays: 70%.

Delta Air Lines runs this route best.

Delta Air Lines arrived on time 79% of the time on this route; JetBlue Airways managed 71%.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 5.2% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon75%(505 flights)
  • Tue81%(512 flights)
  • Wed78%(508 flights)
  • Thu75%(512 flights)
  • Fri77%(530 flights)
  • Sat78%(524 flights)
  • Sun70%(514 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM86%(728 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM86%(478 flights)
  • 12–3 PM77%(746 flights)
  • 3–6 PM71%(728 flights)
  • 6–9 PM67%(586 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM67%(339 flights)
On-time trend by month
84%
May

Jun 64% → May 84% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202564%327
July 202568%323
August 202585%350
September 202583%296
October 202574%281
November 202579%322
December 202567%301
January 202676%264
February 202679%263
March 202675%316
April 202681%276
May 202684%286

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 3,810 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.