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Route Reliability

Raleigh–Durham → New York

RDU–JFK · 427 miles · Raleigh–Durham International Airport to John F. Kennedy International Airport

64
A Little Dicey
WanderNerd Reliability Score
76%
Arrive within 15 minutes
10 min
Average arrival delay
4.8%
Cancelled
3,808
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines77%1,547 flights
  2. 2.American Airlines76%1,345 flights
  3. 3.JetBlue Airways75%916 flights

What the data says

Morning-you made the right choice.

RDU–JFK flights departing between 3–6 AM arrived on time 94% of the time, versus 59% between 6–9 PM.

Sunday scaries are real for this one.

RDU–JFK flights arrived on time 80% of the time on Saturdays. On Sundays: 70%.

Not much between Delta Air Lines and JetBlue Airways.

On this route they all land within 75% to 77% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Keep a backup plan handy.

This route was cancelled 4.8% of the time. Typical for U.S. flights is around 1–2%.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon76%(508 flights)
  • Tue77%(511 flights)
  • Wed79%(513 flights)
  • Thu76%(513 flights)
  • Fri75%(527 flights)
  • Sat80%(534 flights)
  • Sun70%(513 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 3–6 AM94%(185 flights)
  • 6–9 AM88%(803 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM81%(908 flights)
  • 12–3 PM74%(800 flights)
  • 3–6 PM59%(282 flights)
  • 6–9 PM59%(640 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM—(1 flights)
On-time trend by month
78%
May

Jun 69% → May 78% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202569%335
July 202568%323
August 202580%351
September 202583%298
October 202577%284
November 202579%325
December 202570%305
January 202680%266
February 202675%264
March 202674%312
April 202683%274
May 202678%282

Same trip, other airports

Keep nerding

Based on 3,808 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.