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Flight Reliability

DL 868 · Delta Air Lines

Minneapolis → Seattle (MSP–SEA)

92
Nerd Approved
WanderNerd Reliability Score
88%
Arrive within 15 minutes
3 min
Average arrival delay
0.5%
Cancelled
4 min early
Median arrival delay

Based on 365 historical flights. Data through May 2026.

What the data says

Mornings have a slight edge.

Departures between 6–9 AM arrived on time 89% of the time, against 86% between 9 AM–12 PM.

Tuesday has been the better bet.

A small edge: 90% on time on Tuesdays against 86% on Saturdays.

A bit ahead of the MSP–SEA route.

DL 868 arrived on time 88% of the time, versus 82% across the MSP–SEA route.

A bit ahead of the Delta Air Lines network.

DL 868 arrived on time 88% of the time, versus 81% across the Delta Air Lines network.

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon87%(52 flights)
  • Tue90%(52 flights)
  • Wed90%(52 flights)
  • Thu87%(52 flights)
  • Fri86%(51 flights)
  • Sat86%(51 flights)
  • Sun87%(52 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM89%(252 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM86%(110 flights)
On-time trend by month
93%
May

Jun 93% → May 93% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202593%30
July 202594%31
August 202594%31
September 2025100%30
October 202594%31
November 202590%30
December 202565%31
January 202671%31
February 202686%28
March 202672%29
April 2026100%30
May 202693%30
Departures on time
92%
Diverted
0.3%
Flights flown
362
Months covered
12

Same route, other flights

Keep nerding

Based on 365 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.