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WanderNerd

Route Reliability

Minneapolis → Seattle

MSPSEA · 1,399 miles · Minneapolis–Saint Paul International Airport to Seattle–Tacoma International Airport

84
Pretty Reliable
WanderNerd Reliability Score
82%
Arrive within 15 minutes
1 min
Average arrival delay
1.1%
Cancelled
2,707
Flights in the data

Data through May 2026.

Who flies it best

Ranked by on-time arrivals. Historical results, not predictions.

  1. 1.Delta Air Lines83%1,736 flights
  2. 2.Alaska Airlines80%971 flights

What the data says

Morning flights do better here.

MSP–SEA flights departing between 6–9 AM arrived on time 89% of the time, versus 74% between 6–9 PM.

Friday comes out ahead.

A small edge: 84% on time on Fridays against 79% on Sundays.

Not much between Delta Air Lines and Alaska Airlines.

On this route they all land within 80% to 83% on time. Pick on schedule and price.

Trending in the right direction.

MSP–SEA flights arrived on time 82% of the time over the last three months in the data, compared with 69% in the three months before that.

Best historical flights

Ranked by on-time arrivals, minimum 100 flights. Past performance, not a promise.

Top flights by on-time rate

More flights on this route

The breakdown

On-time by weekday
  • Mon83%(402 flights)
  • Tue83%(371 flights)
  • Wed82%(369 flights)
  • Thu80%(400 flights)
  • Fri84%(393 flights)
  • Sat83%(337 flights)
  • Sun79%(398 flights)
On-time by departure window
  • 6–9 AM89%(711 flights)
  • 9 AM–12 PM87%(452 flights)
  • 12–3 PM76%(480 flights)
  • 3–6 PM81%(358 flights)
  • 6–9 PM74%(459 flights)
  • 9 PM–12 AM82%(210 flights)
On-time trend by month
84%
May

Jun 84% → May 84% on time

On-time arrival percentage by month
MonthOn-time percentageFlights
June 202584%266
July 202583%290
August 202587%292
September 202592%262
October 202590%227
November 202584%200
December 202554%207
January 202671%166
February 202682%155
March 202667%186
April 202694%195
May 202684%224

Based on 2,707 historical flights, because apparently we checked. Historical flight data: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics, June 2025 – May 2026. Data through May 2026. How we calculate this.